Why Did Experts Say Trump Had No Chance At The Nobel?

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The Nobel Peace Prize 2025 was just awarded, and it didn’t go to Donald Trump. Many people were talking about whether he might win. But experts who study the prize were saying he had “no chance at all.” So, what’s the story? The prize isn’t for just anyone; it has very specific rules. The winner, Maria Corina Machado, fit those rules perfectly for her brave work in Venezuela. Let’s look at the simple reasons why the experts knew Donald Trump wouldn’t be getting the call from Norway.

What is the Nobel Peace Prize For?

Nobel Peace Prize

To understand why someone wins or doesn't win, we need to know what the prize is for. A man named Alfred Nobel created the prize over 100 years ago. In his will, he wrote that the Peace Prize should go to the person "who has done the most or best to advance fellowship among nations."

Think of it like this: if the world's countries were kids in a giant school, the Peace Prize would go to the kid who did the most to get everyone to play nicely together, stop fights, and be friends. That’s the main goal.

So, Who Actually Won the Nobel Peace Prize 2025?

The prize didn’t go to a world leader like Donald Trump. Instead, it went to Maria Corina Machado. She is a leader from Venezuela who fought for democracy in her country. She did this in a peaceful way, even when it became very dangerous for her. She had to live in hiding, but she never gave up or left her people.

The committee praised her for bringing people together and always supporting a peaceful change. Her story is exactly the kind of work the Nobel Peace Prize was created to honor.

The Top Reasons Experts Said Trump Wouldn't Win

Experts who have studied the prize for years pointed to a few clear reasons why Donald Trump was not going to be the winner. It wasn't just one thing, but a combination of several factors.

1. The "Fellowship Among Nations" Problem

Remember how the prize is for helping countries be friends? Experts said this was a big problem for Trump’s chances.

Nina Graeger, a director at a peace research institute, put it simply: “Simply put, Mr Trump didn't do that.” His approach to world politics often involved pulling the U.S. out of international agreements and criticizing longtime friend countries. This is the opposite of building fellowship. The Nobel committee looks for people who bring the world closer, not push it apart.

2. His Record Had Too Many Critics

Donald Trump said he should win because he helped end some wars. But experts said that while he had some people promoting his record, he had even more people criticizing it.

Darren Kew, a dean at a peace studies school, explained it like this: “If you look at his domestic record and his other international record, he has a lot of detractors as well.” A detractor is someone who speaks against you. The Nobel committee tries to pick winners that most people can see as a force for good. With so many people around the world critical of his actions, choosing him would have caused a lot of arguments, which goes against the spirit of the prize.

3. Lobbying for the Prize is a Bad Look

This is a big one. The Nobel Peace Prize is supposed to be an honor given to you for your good deeds, not something you ask for. Donald Trump talked a lot about how he deserved the prize.

A historian of the award, Asle Sveen, pointed out that this kind of repeated lobbying actually hurts a person's chances. It makes it seem like someone wants the prize for their ego, not because they are truly focused on creating peace. The committee is turned off by this behavior.

4. The Timing Wasn't Right

The prize is supposed to be for the "preceding year," which mostly meant 2024. While the committee can choose anyone they want, they usually stick to this timing.

Some world leaders nominated Donald Trump for his work in 2025, but those nominations were sent in after the January 31 deadline. This made them ineligible for this year's prize. So, even if the committee wanted to consider his latest actions, the official rules got in the way.

A Quick Comparison: Why One Won and the Other Didn't

This table shows the big differences between the winner and the person who didn't win.

FAQs About the Nobel Peace Prize 2025 and Donald Trump

1. Was Donald Trump even considered for the Nobel Peace Prize 2025?
Yes, he was nominated, which means his name was on the list. But being nominated is very different from winning. The committee had 338 candidates to choose from, and experts said from the start that Trump had "no chance" for the reasons listed above.

2. Who nominated Donald Trump?
He was nominated by several politicians, including a Republican congresswoman from the U.S. and leaders from other countries like Israel, Rwanda, and Armenia. However, some of these nominations were submitted after the deadline, so they didn't count for the Nobel Peace Prize 2025.

3. Has a US President won the Nobel Peace Prize before?
Yes. Most recently, Barack Obama won in 2009 for his "efforts to strengthen international diplomacy." This shows the committee is willing to honor American leaders when their work aligns with building global "fellowship."

4. Did Trump's work in Gaza help his chances?
Some people talked about his work in Gaza, but the Nobel committee made a point to say they had decided on the winner days before a major ceasefire was announced. Experts said this timing showed his recent actions weren't a factor this year.

5. So, does this mean Trump can never win?
Not necessarily. The prize is given every year. An expert, Darren Kew, said if Trump doesn't win this year, the message is to "try again next year after you've shown more success." But he would have to show actions that clearly and consistently build peace and fellowship among nations.

The Bottom Line

The Nobel Peace Prize 2025 has a very clear purpose. It’s not a prize for being powerful or for making a single deal. It’s a prize for consistently working to make the world a more peaceful and friendly place. The experts looked at Donald Trump's overall record and his style of dealing with the world and concluded it didn't match the prize's goals. Meanwhile, the brave, peaceful, and unifying work of Maria Corina Machado was a perfect fit, making her the clear and deserving winner.

Read Also : What Earned Venezuela’s María Corina Machado the Nobel Peace Prize 2025?
Answered 5 months ago Mercado Wolski